THE LATEST MARKET INSIGHTS FROM GILES

Analysis
Giles Coghlan

BoC Rate Decision

Bank of Canada holds as expected at 4.50% Going into the Bank of Canada meeting it was not expected to be an eventful meeting, The Bank of Canada had indicated already they would be holding rates at current levels and there was no significant data prior to the meeting to indicate

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

The Problem Facing U.S. Banks

The problem for many regional banks in the US has been highlighted recently from a Brownstone research note. In the note the author points out that many US banks are still offering very low interest rates for depositors. Despite the Fed having hiked rates to nearly 5% the national average for

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

Trading tips : A simple technical tool for the major indices

Sometimes very simple technical tools can be very helpful when you are trading, especially when you have a clear idea of the underlying macro picture. Large moves in most markets are generally underpinned by a key macro story revolving around the path of interest rates and where a country is at

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

SNB Takes A Hawkish Hike

SNB take a hawkish hike despite Credit Suisse crisis The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has been at the heart of preventing contagion from the Credit Suisse banking crisis. The SNB is providing large amounts of liquidity assistance in Swiss francs and foreign currencies to stabilize markets. In the press conference SNB’s

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

Focus of the week : US CORE PCE on Friday!

The CORE PCE print is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation and for that reason it it extremely important for the Fed as they assess how well the fight against inflation is going. Remember the key narrative at the moment that the Fed is trying to balance banking fears with an

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

NZD Short: The US Hard Landing Hedge?

High beta currencies like the Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar tend to fare badly when markets are risk off. However, the NZD is one of the worst performing currencies during a recession. Bloomberg report that JPMorgan looked back at the last 40 years and found that the NZD tends

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

The Bank of England: Hold or Hike?

There are two reasons that the Bank of England might hold rates on Thursday. Firstly, due to the banking crises and secondly due to inflation expected to fall rapidly in the UK.The SVB and Credit Suisse crises may, in their own right, cause the Bank of England to err on the

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Analysis
Giles Coghlan

Have the ECB set the tone for the Fed next week?

Heading into last week’s ECB meeting there was speculation that the ECB’s flagged 50bps rate hike would not go ahead. Why? Well, it was the worries over potential contagion fro European banks over the loss of confidence in Credit Suisse that was circulating strongly on Wednesday last week. However, the SNB

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