Trump’s Tariff Playbook 2.0: A Market Opportunity in Disguise? Article published on February 24th, 2025 8:00AM UK Time Trump’s return to the White House in 2025 has reignited discussions around tariffs, particularly his proposal for heavy tariffs on Chinese imports and a blanket tariff on all foreign goods. At first glance, such a policy seems … Read more
Eurozone PMI Preview: Can the EUR Find Stability? Article published on February 21st, 2025 6:00AM UK Time With the release of the Eurozone’s February Flash PMIs on Friday, February 21, markets are keenly watching for signals on economic health and inflationary pressures. This data will be critical ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) March … Read more
US Debt Ceiling: Market Risks and Historical Trends Article published on February 20th, 2025 6:30AM UK Time The US debt limit, also known as the debt ceiling, is the maximum amount of money that the US federal government is legally allowed to borrow to meet its financial obligations. This includes paying for government spending programs, … Read more
How to Use the VIX: Understanding the Market’s Fear Gauge Article published on February 19th, 2025 6:00AM UK Time In financial markets, fear and uncertainty often drive some of the most volatile price swings. The VIX (Volatility Index), commonly referred to as the “fear gauge,” plays a crucial role in helping traders and investors assess … Read more
RBNZ Interest Rate Decision: A Critical Juncture for Monetary Policy Article published on February 18th, 2025 4:00AM UK Time Market Expectations and Policy Stance The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle on March 19 @0100 UK time. Market pricing reflects a 87% probability of a 50bps cut, … Read more
UK Labour Market Data in Focus: Sterling Faces Key Tests Article published on February 17th, 2025 9:00AM UK Time The upcoming UK labour market report for the three months to December is expected to show a modest uptick in unemployment to 4.5% from 4.4%, alongside an increase in ex-bonus earnings growth to 5.8% from 5.6%. … Read more
PCE Expectations Revised Lower: Weakening USD, Supporting Equities Article published on February 14th, 2025 6:00AM UK Time Key Takeaways from the Latest Data PCE Expectations Have Softened The median forecast for core PCE is now 0.27% M/M, lower than previous concerns that it could track CPI’s stronger 0.45% M/M print. Year-over-year, core PCE is expected … Read more
Market Analysis: Reciprocal Tariffs, Fed Policy, and Consumer Resilience in Focus Article published on February 13th, 2025 8:11AM UK Time As markets digest geopolitical and economic developments, investor sentiment is being shaped by three key themes: the US administration’s tariff policy shift, Federal Reserve rate expectations, and the evolving state of the consumer. While global … Read more
Anticipation Builds Ahead of U.S. CPI Release Amid Mixed Economic Signals Article published on February 12th, 2025 5:00AM UK Time The U.S. economy is currently exhibiting mixed signals, with recent data highlighting both strengths and emerging concerns. On Friday, February 7, 2025, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 143,000 in … Read more
UK GDP Preview: Pound at Risk as Mann Signals Weak Demand Article published on February 11th, 2025 8:33AM UK Time The upcoming UK GDP print on Thursday morning carries heightened significance following the latest remarks from Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Catherine Mann. A known hawkish dissenter, Mann surprised markets at … Read more
